By Pete Moore On November 23rd, 2014 at 6:56 pm
THE MET OFFICE really is rubbish. I know this because I work outdoors and need to know what tomorrow will bring. I don’t do getting wet, and when waterproofs are going to be necessary I really need to know. Granted, predicting the weather for the British Isles can be difficult given our situation, but that’s why the Met Office budget is mega-millions. Even so, getting it right 12-24 hours ahead can be a 50:50 thing, and I know because I check the forecast every evening.
We know the Met’s long term forecasts are even worse. It’s so hopeless I take no notice of the seasonal predictions. We’ll note, however, that the Met predicts that this winter will be wet, windy and mild, at least until the new year.
One reputedly accurate source of long term forecasts is Piers Corbyn. His Weather Action is a commercial operation which sells forecasts. If you want to know what’s coming you have to pay. His living depends on being right. I have no idea because I’ve never subscribed, though some swear by him and I keep an eye WA’s forum chatter for clues.
So we have a potential test now, because Corbyn himself has provided a clue, stating that the Met Office prediction for winter is “Foolish babble from deluded charlatans and should be ignored absolutely.” The full statement is down the right hand side of the website, which is a mess but he’s an astrophysicist and a geek, and includes that: “For this particular winter the “milder (at least till New Year)-wetter and windier than normal” prognosos has we would estimate only a 5% chance of being confirmed. Weather Action is 95% confident that the MetO forecast will fail.”
Elsewhere on the site, he states: “There are some very significant cold and snowy blasts now almost a certainly in December. We are expecting something similar to 2010 and 2011 with major snow events and sustained extreme cold expected through the month.”
So it’s someting of a head-to-head, though we need to bear in mind that predictions are couched in terms of probabilities. We didn’t have a winter last time. A wet, windy and mild autumn carried on all the way to spring, causing huge floods along the way. Some of us might have been lulled into forgetfulness. This country is useless with an inch of snow, so it might be good to assume that Piers Corbyn is right and make your plans.
By Pete Moore On November 22nd, 2014 at 8:11 pm
Enough of the politics, which always divides. I propose something else, like religion, and Dara O’Briain, who’s probably a good bloke to have a beer with, which is the proper bloke way of rating someone –
By The Troll On November 22nd, 2014 at 7:35 pm
In case like most people you missed it Friday the Obama Administration found 30,000 E-Mails of Lois Lerners that were said to be lost forever.
The missing emails extend from 2009 to 2011, a period when Lerner headed the IRS’s exempt-organizations division. The emails were lost when Lerner’s computer crashed, IRS officials said earlier this year.
In June Koskinen told Congress the emails were probably lost for good because the disaster recovery tape holds onto the data for only six months. He said even if the IRS had sought the emails within the six-month period, it would have been a complicated and difficult process to produce them from the tapes. The IRS also lost the emails of several other employees who worked under Lerner during that period.
Well the E-Mails have been found but they have yet to be turned over and examined by the investigating committees that Lerner has been found to be in Contempt of Congress of for refusing to testify. You can’t blame her when you know that the only person who can prosecute you for contempt is the only American Attorney General in History to be himself held in Contempt, and has still yet to comply.
Congressional aides said officials from the inspector general’s office said it could take weeks to get the recovered emails off the tape before sending them to lawmakers in Capitol Hill.
In all, investigators from the inspector general’s office combed through 744 disaster recovery tapes. They are not finished looking.
There are 250 million emails on the tapes that will be reviewed. Officials said it is likely they will find missing emails from other IRS officials who worked under Lerner and who said they suffered computer crashes.
The Lawlessness of the Obama Administration from refusing to testify, withholding evidence, using the IRS as a weapon, gun running and refusing to uphold Laws that it doesn’t like has created the most disgraceful Administration in our History.
That is Obama’s real Legasy.
By Pete Moore On November 22nd, 2014 at 4:09 pm
It’s volte-face time again, because those experts have decided they were wrong all along! Reports The Telegraph –
High fat diets not as dangerous as high carbohydrate plans, claim scientists
Ohio State University find that levels of fat in the blood did not increase with a high fat diet, but did with a high carbohdrate intake
Saturated fat has long been demonised by doctors and nutritionists who claim that it increases the risk of heart problems.
But decades of official advice may need to be altered, after new research suggested that it may be safe to eat up to three times the maximum amount currently recommended by the NHS.
It means that far from being foods to avoid, butter, cheese, meat and cream, could all form part of a healthy lifestyle.
As some idiot has been saying in these here parts, carbs should be avoided. They make you fat, upset insulin levels and cause diabetes. We long knew this, but a few decades ago government picked up the crackpot advice of a tiny cabal of stupid people and foistered terrible dietary guideline on millions of lab rats who have suffered because of it. Natural animal fats and cholesterol are not only good for you but necessary for good health. Carbs are not good for you. The short video below shows how concentrated government power, via the McGovern Committe, inflicted this disaster on Americans. Of course the British government has said exactly the same, with the same catastrophic results –
Politics pollutes everything of course, and the demonisation of fat and cholesterol is one of the greatest crimes committed by government and the medical establishment. It’s when one understands the politics and the rent-seeking medical/food/pharma corporate state, you see why there has been a decades-long war on good, natural food in favour of subsidised carbs and plastic, processed crap.
Do yourself a favour: drops the carbs and eat as much (organic) meat, fish, fruit, veg and nuts as you like. Have organic eggs and butter. Eat as much as you like because it’s all fabulously healthy and tasty and you’ll look and feel much better for it.
By Pete Moore On November 22nd, 2014 at 3:38 pm
Target the children
To Kiev, where up is down, black is white and bad is definitely good. The West’s satrap, Poroshenko, recently outlined how Kiev will win its war of aggression against the people Donetsk and Lugansk –
It’s all in place then. Pensions were long ago stopped for pensioners in the east, power stations have been hit by Kiev’s artillery and schools have been bombed. Washington’s reponse is to dispatch Joe Biden in support of their junta, while Mad McCain and Lindsey Graham are still demanding war with Russia. But then the West will always accommodate evil against the weak. It’s here that Madeleine Albright can say that the killing of half a million children is fine, as long as the West’s goals are achieved.
So Poroshenko and the warlords of the West will be heartened to know that the children of Donbass are holed up underground. A human being would find this heartbreaking, but to Kiev, London, Washington and Brussels and Berlin, this must look like victory –
By The Troll On November 22nd, 2014 at 1:06 am
something to match the mood….
By David Vance On November 21st, 2014 at 7:44 pm
My taste gets more eclectic – I remember this sentimental tune from many decades ago. I was just thinking to myself how dogs are often better companions than people! I particularly like the whistle at the end. I don’t have a dog, of course, but I do have fish!
By David Vance On November 21st, 2014 at 7:38 pm
Honestly, you would need a heart of stone not to laugh at the sheer imbecility of this one.
A jihadi bride who fled Scotland for Syria to marry a terrorist has complained the country is too cold. Aqsa Mahmood, (Good SCOTTISH name) 20, has told followers on twitter the plunging temperatures are “too much” for her. The 20-year-old from Glasgow married a fighter for the brutal Islamic State in February before her parents begged her to return in a public appeal. Uni dropout Mahmood is now living in the IS-held northern city of Raqqah where temperatures dip well below freezing at night. She wrote: “Bun [forget] Scotland, the winters here are too much. “Sisters please don’t forget to pack thermal clothing or you’ll regret it later on.”
We can but hope she follows in the footsteps of THIS “British Jihadi”…
I only wish our current crop of politicians had the guts to insist that NONE of these Jihadi can ever ever return to the UK.
By David Vance On November 21st, 2014 at 7:30 pm
Oh what a shocker!
Pupils at six small Muslim private schools in east London are at risk of extremist views and radicalisation, says Ofsted’s chief inspector. Sir Michael Wilshaw said the pupils’ “physical and educational welfare is at serious risk” following a series of emergency inspections. He said all the schools focused too heavily on Islamic teachings. Education Secretary Nicky Morgan says the schools will be closed down if changes are not made quickly.
It seems they some pupils (lab rats) could not distinguish between SHARIA Law and UK Law.
Look, the idea that we can have ANY confidence in the deliberate “otherness” of Islamic education in this British country is delusional. I think it would be best for community cohesion if we closed all Islamic schools. if parents want to get an Islamic education, move to an Islamic country.
By David Vance On November 21st, 2014 at 7:09 pm
Remember Obama promising a more consensual form of government? Yes, that was pure spin, of course. And now, in the declining years of his reign, we have King Obama revealed in all his naked ambition.
‘Ignoring the brutal, historic slap-down angry American voters gave his party this month, President Obama unveiled plans for a unilaterally imposed amnesty that will shield an estimated 5 million illegal aliens from deportation.
Whether Republicans, now in possession of a thunderous mandate to fight Obama tooth and nail, will fight this despotic usurpation of the lawmaking powers of Congress remains to be seen.”
So, 5 million law breakers get to stay in the US. What message does that send to others considering a quick hop across the border? I know that Bush was little better. I can’t fathom WHY the United States of America seeks to become the United States of Mexico but assuredly that is one demographic consequence of this act by his Imperial Kingliness!