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NORTH OF THE BORDER…

By David Vance On May 19th, 2017

One of the most fascinating changes in UK politics is observing the advance of the Conservatives. In Scotland. Why is this?

Simply, the SNP nationalist magic is starting to wear off. Nicola Sturgeon wants to gloss over her thin list of accomplishments, but the public is realising that she has little to boast of beyond agitating for independence.  So who do they turn to as an Opposition?

Scottish Labour is in too much of a mess, as Kezia Dugdale’s panicky decision to suspend her party’s entire team of councillors in Aberdeen to punish them for entering a coalition with the Tories showed. Scottish Labour’s strife has given the Tories their opportunity for a comeback. They may be cautious about wrapping themselves in the Union flag, but Ruth Davidson has no such qualms. She knows many voters want a credible Opposition to Nicola Sturgeon, hence her call today to Scottish Labour supporters to join her to stop the SNP “pulling our country apart”.

I believe the SNP will lose seats to the Conservatives in a few weeks, as Labour sink into total electoral annihilation. We will see an incredible change as the Scottish people turn their back in increasing numbers on Sturgeon and her Independence zealotry! Watch this space!!!

28 Responses to “NORTH OF THE BORDER…”

  1. Apparently, Nicola Sturgeon’s own constituency is a total shambles.

    So, apart from bugger all, one can only imagine what must be going on between their ears when they actually vote for her?

  2. Our absurd voting system will help the SNP. The Tories could poll 35% of the Scottish vote and win 5% of the Scottish seats. But that will be 5% more than Labour.

  3. The Torygraph in London bigs up the Tories in Scotland- Zzzzzzz

    You like polls don’t you? Have you seen this?

    http://uk.businessinsider.com/general-election-2017-poll-boost-for-jeremy-corbyn-as-labour-slashes-tory-lead-2017-5

  4. From Paul’s link..

    “The Lib Dems are on 7% -7”

    Their anti-Brexit plan is going well then 😉

  5. Peter 725

    First past the post is the way it’s done in lots of places? Not such an outlier

    And at least you don’t have setup we do where the candidate for the top job gets fewer votes but wins anyway and claims to have a super historic ” mandate “

  6. Good link Paul.

    Gideon Skinner, head of political polling at Ipsos MORI, said: “Labour shouldn’t get too carried away by the rise they see in the polls.”

    “The focus on their manifesto may have helped them this week, but on many fundamentals such as leadership the public still puts them a long way behind the Conservatives, and their vote is much softer, with one in six of their supporters considering voting for Theresa May’s party.”

  7. Take away the Muslim postal votes, and Labour would be at the bottom, behind UKIP.

  8. Yeah I saw that Harri, who’s denying the Conservatives are in front?

    The fact of the matter is that the Cons will win the election but this poll suggests that Labour aren’t the write offs that is being suggested on ATW?

    Take away the Muslim postal votes, and Labour would be at the bottom, behind UKIP.

    How do you know? Is that fact or opinion?

  9. //at least you don’t have setup we do where the candidate for the top job gets fewer votes but wins anyway//

    Actually in the UK the winning party almost always gets a much lower percentage of the national vote than Trump did.

    Thatcher won with 44% in 1979, 42% in 1983 and again 42% in 1987. She still got almost two thirds of the seats in the HoC on those results each time. FPTP makes it possible.

    If you want a more democratic alternative to the US system, Britain is not the place to look.

  10. First past the post is the way it’s done in lots of places?

    No Phantom. All European elections are based on a proportional voting system of one type or another. And all UK elections (devolved parliaments and EU) are also proportional systems, with the exception of Westminster. In 2015, the SNP won 95% of the Westminster seats in Scotland on 55% of the vote, a classic example of how FPTP can be a denial of democracy.

  11. Judge slates ‘banana republic’ postal voting system

    Tuesday 5 April 2005 01.06 BST First published on Tuesday 5 April 2005 01.06 BST
    A senior judge made a scathing attack on the postal voting system yesterday, condemning the government for complacency in the face of fraud which would disgrace a “banana republic”.

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk/2005/apr/05/politics.localgovernment

    POLL FRAUD ‘IGNORED’ Vote rigging in Muslim communities ‘goes unchallenged because PC police are scared of causing offence’
    Anit-corruption tsar Sir Eric Pickles said the ‘integrity of democracy’ in Britain is at stake

    https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/1596032/vote-rigging-in-muslim-communities-goes-unchallenged-because-pc-police-are-scared-of-causing-offence/

    Voters may have to show ID to combat voter fraud in ‘vulnerable’ areas

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/12/27/voters-will-have-show-passports-combat-voter-fraud-vulnerable/

  12. Muslim postal votes for Labour, would make Robert Mugabe blush..

    Understanding electoral fraud vulnerability in Pakistani and Bangladeshi origin
    communities in England.

    A view of local political activists.

    http://www.electoralcommision.org

  13. Ooops!

    http://www.electoralcommision.org.uk

  14. So, Conservative MP Eric Pickles found in a report:

    Authorities have also turned a “blind eye” to bullying and religious intimidation among Asian communities at election times, former Cabinet Minister Sir Eric Pickles found.

    Did it also find out that the electoral fraud was rife amongst all parties and that Conservative activists had been convicted of it ?

    http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/england/berkshire/7302809.stm

    Mr Ali took his findings to an election court, where the judge in the case, Richard Mawrey QC, ruled there had been fraud and overturned the result, leading to a by-election […]

    In different parts of the country, there have been Conservatives, there have been Liberal Democrats, there have been Labour activists arrested and charged over postal vote fraud, so this is not a problem which affects only one political party.

    http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-26487418

    Of course official photographic ID sure be used for elections.

  15. From Paul’s link.

    I rest my case your honor.

    Say no more..

    Eshaq Khan beat Lydia Simmons, an ex-mayor of Slough, Berkshire, by 119 votes to win the council’s Central Ward in last year’s local elections.

    But a special election High Court, in Slough, convicted Khan and his agents of corrupt and illegal practices.

    They are related to applications for registering to vote and postal voting. He was banned from standing again.

  16. Actually Harri you do need to say more. Your claim was:

    Take away the Muslim postal votes, and Labour would be at the bottom, behind UKIP.

    Are you now backtracking?

  17. Maybe we should get Zanu-PF agents in to run the polling stations in “Muslim areas”?

    They are banana republics anyway.

  18. Paul.

    Your link showed one Muslim conservative committing fraud.

    😉

  19. And this is just Bradford…

    A labour stronghold.

    Police asked to investigate more than 50 allegations of electoral fraud
    West Yorkshire accounts for nearly half of claims of ‘ghost’ voters, false statements and multiple votes being investigated

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/may/23/police-open-inquiries-allegations-electoral-fraud-uk

  20. Actually it didn’t it showed him and his team, I think there were eight convictions in total. Can you show similar proof for Labour activists?

  21. He said there had been “a Birmingham-wide campaign by the Labour Party to try, by the use of bogus postal votes, to counter the adverse effect of the Iraq war on its electoral fortunes.”

    http://www.birminghampost.co.uk/news/local-news/20000-voters-vanish-birminghams-electoral-10845078

    Actually it didn’t it showed him and his team, I think there were eight convictions in total. Can you show similar proof for Labour activists?

    Are you insane?

  22. It’s a paki thang – we just can’t get it. In any case, these primitive inbreds have just got to go home.

    Here in Scotland, the SNP is now being shown for the fakes that they are and it took Brexit to do it. The keystone of the SNP is to get independence from London and hand everything over to Brussels because Scotland is independent?? This position is absurd and so simple to understand that even the electorate up here is getting a handle on it.

  23. Paul.

    Were him and his “team” all pakis?

    I am right, you are a dhimmi, and wrong.

    End of 😉

  24. Bradford, a Labour stronghold, being investigated from an article three years ago?

    How’s that investigation go?

    Here’s an actual custodial conviction from Bradford six years ago:

    http://www.yorkshirepost.co.uk/news/two-ex-councillors-jailed-for-bradford-postal-votes-fraud-1-2588030

  25. So Harri, you’re now bactracking on your claim that

    Labour would be at the bottom, behind UKIP.

    Is that correct?

  26. Paul

    They would have been in Thanet in 2015.

  27. If the Conservatives had Dianne Abbot, or the likes of Emily Thornberry, and the other assorted dross on their front bench masquerading as our “peers” – they also deserve to be languishing at the bottom behind UKIP.

  28. ‘Deserving’ to languish at the bottom behind UKIP’ is an opinion not a fact Harri.

    Take away the Muslim postal votes, and Labour would be at the bottom, behind UKIP.

    How do you know? Is that fact or opinion?

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