web analytics

WE’RE ALL DOOMED….

By ATWadmin On January 17th, 2007

Everytime I watch a News Programme these days, there is always an obligatory “global warming” scare story. Clearly the MSM has embraced and now promulgates the Green Gospel. However, writing over on the American Thinker, James Lewis has some words of wisdom for the apostles of global warming….



As a scientist I’ve learned never to say “never.” So human-caused global warming is always a hypothesis to hold, at least until climate science becomes mature. (Climate science is very immature right now: Physicists just don’t know how to deal with hypercomplex systems like the earth weather. That’s why a recent NASA scientist was wildly wrong when he called anthropogenic warming “just basic physics.” Basic physics is what you do in the laboratory. If hypercomplex systems were predictable, NASA would have foolproof space shuttles —  because they are a lot simpler than the climate. So this is just pseudoscientific twaddle from NASA’s vaunted Politically Correct Division. It makes me despair when even scientists conveniently forget that little word “hypothesis.”) 

The human-caused global warming hypothesis is completely model-dependent. We can’t directly observe cars and cows turning up the earth thermostat. Whatever the human contribution there may be to climate constitutes just a few signals among many hundreds or thousands. All our models of the earth climate are incomplete. That’s why they keep changing, and that’s why climate scientists keep finding surprises….


 


You should read his article – no one is denying that our Planet changes. It changes all the time. But before we start gibbering that every drought/flood/storm/blizzard is OUR fault, a little reason might be useful?

3 Responses to “WE’RE ALL DOOMED….”

  1. David
    Could you link to the article?

  2. Good article. It brings to mind the following ‘Laws’ :-

    The Law of Computer Models
    The results from computer models tend towards the desires and expectations of the modellers
    the Corollay being –
    The larger the model, the closer the convergence.

    and

    Maier’s Law
    If the facts don’t conform to the theory, they must be disposed of.
    the Corollaries being –
    1.The bigger the theory, the better
    2.The experiment may be considered a success if no more than 50% of the observed measurements must be discarded to obtain a correspondence with the theory

    My thanks to Numbers Watch for the above Laws.

  3. You know it’s serious when…

    ‘The new UN Secretary General, Ban Ki-moon, has said tackling climate change is a priority for him’

    http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/in_depth/6269267.stm

    I’d propose a new hypothesis…

    The severity of any issue dealing with improvement of the human condition is inversely proportional to the degree of interest espoused by the U.N.

    This proposal does seem to have quite a lot of empirical support.:)