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Goodnight Gracie

By Mahons On May 16th, 2019

When a man named Warren Wilhelm, Jr. Walks up to you and says his name is Bill De Blasio and he is running for President it should give you pause.

The Mayor of New York announced he is running for President, and as the 23rd mainstream candidacy one might say “why not?” Surely he is entitled to pursue a highly implausible nomination as the rest of the pack who could collectively be named “America Doesn’t Got Talent.”

It can’t all be delusion. There must be some agenda behind these Don Quixote campaigns. Is it attention? Hope for influence? Boredom? Perhaps politicians feel the need to run like the rich feel the need for summer homes, it gives them something to talk about.

The Mayor is probably one of the least liked men to live in Gracie Mansion. I encountered him once shortly after his election walking on 42nd street with his entourage trailung behind him. He had a puss on him a mile wide and looked like an unhappy tourist. None of the happy “How am I Doing?” Wit of Ed Koch, none of the competent my way confidence of Rudy Guiliani, none of the celebrity glow of Lindsay, or even the misplaced happiness of David Dinkins. He is a putz. A schmuck. A Red Sox fan. An accidental Mayor through the sheer incompetence of the opposition. Karl Marx would dismiss him as a pandering leftist.

He travels first to Iowa and South Carolina. People may move to those states to be able to vote against him at the first opportunity. I think he might be the only Democrat Trump could actually beat in New York City.

I cant believe he thinks he could win the nomination, let alone the Presidency. Of course I thought the same thing about Trump, but de Blasio has none of Trump’s strengths and nearly all of his weaknesses. Surely as bad as the other candidates may be he won’t be the last man standing. Deliver us from evil.

12 Responses to “Goodnight Gracie”

  1. Accurate commentary

    It is quite amazing that this guy was elected in the first place ( in a low turnout election, when the Republicans ran a bag of old socks against him )

    Like Trump, he’d never carry his own home town. Unlike Trump, he’d have no followers elsewhere. He’s wasting everyone’s time.

  2. “When a man named Warren Wilhelm, Jr. Walks up to you and says his name is Bill De Blasio and he is running for President it should give you pause.”

    There are a lot of good reasons to have a go at Bill de Blasio. His name change isn’t one of them.

  3. Ultimately the major issue facing de Blasio is an inability to separate him from the rest of the field. Most of the other major candidates at least have something going for them. He is relatively unknown, despite having a relatively major office that has been seen in the past as a potential springboard to the Presidency (both Bloomberg and Guiliani have been considered realistic contenders in the past). Also problematic for him is that the more known he becomes the more people dislike him.

    Most of the other candidates either have serious name recognition or a niche (Biden has name recognition, as does Sanders, while Harris, Booker, and Buttigieg are minorities or LGBT, while both Sanders and O’Rourke have a bit of a cult following thing going on as well). The fact is that de Blasio is largely going to be fishing in the same pond as Sanders and he literally has nothing that would suggest to those voters that they should vote for him and not Sanders.

    “A Red Sox fan”

    He does have one saving grace I guess.

  4. I think Bloomberg and Giuliani were seen as potential candidates because they exceeded the office they were in, de Blasio shrunk it.

    Few – you are probably right. I’ll mock his height instead.

  5. I think it is viewed as one of the major non-federal executive offices in the United States. NYC has a population greater than the overwhelming majority of States. So I think in terms of difficulty and prestige Mayor of New York would be on a par with Governor of a mid-sized State.

  6. No Mayor has ever won. In fact the only one to even get a nomination was DeWitt Clinton in 1812 (lost to Madison).

  7. Just for the record, is there a single Democrat politician of any prominence whatsoever who is not running for the nomination? Because from this side of the pond it seems like there are dozens in the field already.

    Trump is very beatable in 2020, especially if the economy turns down, and even more especially if Roe v Wade is overturned. But they need to make the right choice. If they make the wrong choice he will walk it.

  8. “No Mayor has ever won. In fact the only one to even get a nomination was DeWitt Clinton in 1812 (lost to Madison).”

    That is true. Though it is also worth pointing out that only 10 States have had Governors who have gone on to win the Presidency. Ronald Reagan, for example, is the only ever California Governor to become President.

    No Governor of Florida has ever become President (though Andrew Jackson briefly was the Military Commissioner of Florida and so could arguably be said was Governor of Florida). Neither have the Governors of Pennsylvania, Illinois, North Carolina and Michigan.

    Governors of New York and Virginia seem to have the leg up for the Presidency (New York Governors have provided 4 Presidents, though two were elected Vice President before becoming President).

    “Just for the record, is there a single Democrat politician of any prominence whatsoever who is not running for the nomination? Because from this side of the pond it seems like there are dozens in the field already.”

    Broadly no. So much so that a few Democrats without much prominence seem to be running as well. You are probably talking 20 majorish candidates, as well as two or three randomers as well. It is why the DNC have limited debates to 20 candidates (which is at least 10-15 too many). They’ve put forward a number of criteria to thin the herd as it is and already 11 candidates have met the criteria.

    “Trump is very beatable in 2020, especially if the economy turns down, and even more especially if Roe v Wade is overturned. But they need to make the right choice. If they make the wrong choice he will walk it.”

    I can’t see much of an economic downturn. And even a downturn (short of the bubble bursting on the lending market which has in some cases gone back to pre-2007 practices that caused the last downturn) is likely to still result in growth (just less growth). And Democrats, short of an economic collapse, will do well to steer clear of the economy. It is one of the areas were Trump has an advantage (Trump has a job approval of 42%, on the economy it is 55%).

    I also wonder whether abortion would have the impact you think it will, not least as the majority of women who have abortions, or support legalised abortions, already disproportionately vote Democratic. Even the main Republican grouping who support abortion (suburban women) have shifted to the Democrats already in 2020.

    Additionally abortion, as a campaign issue, can swing the other way as well. Opposition to late-term abortions is high in the US (support has rarely cracked the 15% mark). The key to the Democrat’s strategy on abortion is making the GOP seem like they are outside public opinion on the subject. But the Virginia abortion bill, the New York abortion law, etc… put the Democrats outside public opinion on the subject as well. The Democrats on abortion aren’t going to be about the middle ground. They are going to tack as hard left on the issue as the Republicans do hard right. So I’m not sure there is a lot of ground to be picked up.

  9. Rudy Giuliani absolutely could’ve been elected president

    He could have taken the northeastern states, but also states like Texas and the southeast

    His national appeal was great – A no nonsense anticrime reformer, who had performed well in the days after 911

    But he ran an undisciplined and harebrained campaign in 2008 , And fell like a heavy stone in the ratings week by week

  10. I would never vote for Trump, but I also would not vote for the majority of Dems challenging him. And if folks like me sit out, he wins.

  11. DeBlasio must be superman if he can run for president and do his job as mayor of NYC at the same time. He is not superman and does not do his job very well when not running for president. I don’t know anybody who thinks he is doing a good job or likes him. This is his last term as mayor and as a relentless self-promoter, I suppose he thinks he has nothing to lose. But this delusion will mark him as a joke for a long time.

  12. perfect

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