5 1 min 11 yrs

Enda Kenny - Fine Gael leader set to be next Taoiseach

My congratulations to Enda Kenny and Fine Gael on their electoral success.

I was also delighted to see the demise of the Green Party.

Fianna Fail got what it deserved – a truly cataclysmically awful result! Sinn Fein got 13 seats, the same number as Independents.

It was sickening too see Grisly Adams top the poll in Louth.

The bigger question is this, however. What now?

Kenny says he “will try” to renegotiate the terms of the IMF/EU bail out. He has no chance. In fact I think things are about to get a whole lot worse as Merkel and Sarkozy seek to move on Irish corporation tax. In that regard, perhaps Cranmer has captured the true essence of what has happened here.

Is there a new dawn for the Republic or is the only light that of a setting son?


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  1. I will be interested in the how the Sinn Fein vote is interpreted. I suspect that it is a ” protest vote “.

    They were quite correct in opposing the bank bailout – but if the major problem is the economy, Sinn Fein know less than nothing about how a modern economy works.

    Now, the poisoned chalice goes to Fine Gael. Good luck- you most certainly will need it.

  2. I don’t know what leverage they could possibly have in negotiating with Europe.

    The leverage was at it’s greatest before the bank guarantee was given, and is at its nadir now.

    The EU big boys are unlikely to modify a deal that was struck so recently, and supposedly in good faith. Any modification would set a ” bad precedent ” to the truly irresponsible members of the Europe club.

    The funny thing is that ( as I see it ) the Irish ( like AIG ! ) did most things RIGHT economically. They erred by not regulating the banks much, and they made the error of the ages when they guaranteed all bank debt despite there being no good reason to do such a thing.

    Only two mistakes. Only.

  3. Firstly the Shinners will get 14 and half a decent shot at 15th as the counts in Laois/Offaly (where they will win) and in Wicklow (where they have about a 50/50 shot). Secondly they only got about a 3% increase from 2007. The big thing in 2007 was that in both Donegal seats Sinn Féin were within a few hundred votes of a seat. The same in some of the Dublin seats. The only surprising ones were in Cork (which is typical of most Sinn Féin votes and so probably not soft) and Sligo North Leitrim, where they won because they were the only party that fielded a Leitrim candidate. So I don’t think it was a protest vote.

  4. The shinners have capitalised from the collapse of the FF vote, they didn’t make it into government. They’ve always wanted SF ministers both sides of the border, it’s not to be. They have speaking rights and can claim money etc but they’re small change in the shadow of FF. FF will live to fight another day. After a government of severe cuts people will return to the comfort of FF. I don’t think we’ll ever see SF in government in the south. Throwing rocks at those who make the decisions will suit them, as Margaret Ritchie rightly said. ‘Red communists in the south and Green Tories in the north.’ They have no clothes.

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